Stefan Wolff, University of Birmingham and Tatyana Malyarenko, National University Odesa Law Academy As the war in Ukraine is about to head into its sixth month, the ferocity with which it is fought shows no signs of abating – neither on the battlefield, nor in the rhetoric emerging from Moscow and Kyiv. Russian attacks continue to target Ukrainian cities such …
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Ukraine war: despite Russia’s success in Donbas, this is only the end of the beginning
Frank Ledwidge, University of Portsmouth When considering the current position of the war in Ukraine, it’s worth remembering that the assumption of Russian commanders when they began their “special military operation”, was that the whole thing would be complete within two weeks. So much for assumptions. What they face now is a protracted attritional battle which may go on for …
Read More »Russia: Victory Day 2022 and why commemoration of the end of WWII matters today
Miriam J Dobson, University of Sheffield Even in the darkest days of the pandemic in 2020 Russia didn’t cancel Victory Day, its anniversary of the end of the second world war – it was just postponed. This year, the Kremlin promises a parade on May 9 with 11,000 servicemen and women plus 62 airplanes and 15 helicopters. Eight MiG-29s will …
Read More »Ukraine: the battle for Donbas will be protracted and bloody – military expert
Frank Ledwidge, University of Portsmouth There will be no peace deals, no ceasefires and no surrenders in Ukraine. The next two months will bring what US defence officials have called “a knife fight” in the area the Ukrainian army call “The Joint Forces Operation” (JFO). We know this region better as Donbas. For eight years the two sides have fought …
Read More »Ukraine: how Putin used a long proxy conflict to justify invasion
Vladimir Rauta, University of Reading and Giuseppe Spatafora, University of Oxford In the early hours of February 24, Russia attacked Ukraine, beginning with a barrage of airstrikes in the country’s eastern regions. Other major cities came under siege within a matter of hours, including Kyiv. Russian president Vladimir Putin threatened catastrophic consequences if any foreign actor interfered in this “special …
Read More »Ukraine: what’s really behind Putin’s deployment of ‘peacekeeping’ troops? Experts explain
Stefan Wolff, University of Birmingham and Tatyana Malyarenko, National University Odesa Law Academy Vladimir Putin’s recognition of the independence of the two breakaway republics of Donetsk and Luhansk followed a surreal live broadcast of a security council meeting in the Kremlin. Sitting facing the 13-member council, Putin cajoled and argued as, one by one, his most senior officials – including …
Read More »Russia and the West are at a stalemate over Ukraine. Is Putin’s endgame now war?
AP Matthew Sussex, Australian National University The flurry of diplomatic activity last week over Russia’s latest military buildup near Ukraine ended, as expected, with no breakthrough agreement. Russian President Vladimir Putin called it a “dead end”. Washington was hoping the talks between Russia and the United States and its NATO allies, which took place in three different European cities, would …
Read More »Ukraine got a signed commitment in 1994 to ensure its security – but can the US and allies stop Putin’s aggression now?
A Ukrainian soldier uses a periscope to view the positions of Russian-led forces on Dec. 12, 2021, in Zolote, Ukraine. Brendan Hoffman/Getty Images Lee Feinstein, Indiana University and Mariana Budjeryn, Harvard Kennedy School Russia’s illegal annexation of Ukraine’s Crimean Peninsula in 2014 was the first change of internationally recognized borders in Europe through military force since World War II. Russia …
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